Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 59.350499 67.497052 75.879801 85.116889 94.977411 105.158088 116.433613
2025-06-29 46.302693 57.814194 70.261661 84.582376 100.471944 117.442651 136.821809
2025-07-06 37.391776 50.420902 65.076471 82.492297 102.355977 124.067242 149.362301
2025-07-13 33.616616 48.204518 65.124690 85.721151 109.680631 136.292191 167.720091
2025-07-20 29.982771 45.640233 64.337255 87.602223 115.143534 146.161124 183.216866
2025-07-27 25.882602 42.031108 61.916549 87.219910 117.697292 152.485880 194.504304
2025-08-03 22.247835 38.623450 59.422067 86.467230 119.578347 157.844706 204.525161
2025-08-10 19.677500 36.354922 58.140749 87.013279 122.858210 164.717208 216.201513
2025-08-17 16.991911 33.644799 56.072088 86.392695 124.576450 169.635380 225.508916
2025-08-24 14.958919 31.654143 54.788067 86.631398 127.240724 175.598638 235.983135
2025-08-31 12.774221 29.196004 52.693749 85.677497 128.308750 179.559291 244.020371
2025-09-07 11.525233 28.056202 52.323222 86.905074 132.056620 186.722571 255.846852
2025-09-14 10.418541 27.054338 52.107581 88.337204 136.099210 194.312840 268.290703
2025-09-21 8.831429 25.052173 50.324202 87.565776 137.263297 198.340987 276.436610
2025-09-28 7.124889 22.582811 47.674842 85.468726 136.603742 200.032766 281.686240
2025-10-05 6.823277 22.697181 48.914561 88.758440 142.966826 210.456033 297.568645
2025-10-12 6.255317 22.218754 49.197626 90.678831 147.518497 218.616670 310.699280
2025-10-19 5.288526 20.786970 47.896510 90.288593 148.970441 222.861549 319.017860
2025-10-26 4.371132 19.289275 46.385999 89.520603 149.862764 226.362020 326.394192
2025-11-02 3.777418 18.408218 45.819604 90.077779 152.502826 232.058341 336.472461
2025-11-09 3.079220 17.121120 44.486164 89.444543 153.489012 235.620156 343.888256
2025-11-16 2.584570 16.233993 43.772357 89.688117 155.639281 240.652904 353.124011
2025-11-23 2.013618 14.962174 42.293323 88.714717 156.074222 243.450539 359.550880